Above-Normal Hurricane Season Forecast: 10 Storms Possible For US

Michael

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Post on May 29, 2025

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Above-Normal Hurricane Season Forecast: 10 Storms Possible for US

The Atlantic hurricane season, running from June 1st to November 30th, is predicted to be more active than usual, according to the latest forecast from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Experts are predicting a likely above-average season, with the potential for 10 to 16 named storms. This means residents along the US coastline need to prepare now for a potentially busy and dangerous hurricane season.

Why an Above-Average Hurricane Season?

Several factors contribute to this prediction of an above-average hurricane season. NOAA cites warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean as a key driver. These warmer waters fuel hurricane development and intensity. Additionally, atmospheric conditions, including wind shear and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), are expected to be conducive to storm formation. While El Niño is predicted to develop later in the year, its influence on the season remains uncertain.

What Does This Mean for Coastal Communities?

The forecast of 10 to 16 named storms translates to a projected 4 to 8 hurricanes, with 1 to 4 potentially reaching major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher). This signifies a significant risk to coastal communities across the US, particularly in the Gulf of Mexico and along the Atlantic seaboard. Even storms that don't reach hurricane strength can cause devastating flooding and damage.

Preparing for Hurricane Season: Key Steps

With an above-average hurricane season predicted, preparedness is paramount. Here's what you need to do:

• Develop a Hurricane Plan: This should include evacuation routes, communication strategies with family members, and a list of essential supplies. Knowing your evacuation zone is crucial. You can find this information on your local emergency management agency's website.
• Stock Up on Supplies: Gather enough non-perishable food, water (one gallon per person per day), batteries, flashlights, a first-aid kit, and any necessary medications for at least a week. Don't forget pet supplies if applicable.
• Secure Your Property: Trim trees and shrubs around your home to reduce the risk of damage from falling branches. Reinforce your windows and doors if possible.
• Stay Informed: Monitor weather forecasts regularly through reliable sources like the National Hurricane Center () and your local news. Sign up for emergency alerts on your phone.
• Understand Hurricane Terminology: Familiarize yourself with terms like hurricane watch, hurricane warning, and tropical storm watch. Knowing the difference will help you understand the urgency of the situation.

Beyond the Forecast: Long-Term Trends

While this year's forecast highlights an above-average season, it's also important to consider the long-term trends. Climate change is influencing hurricane intensity and frequency, leading to a potential increase in severe weather events in the future. This underscores the importance of ongoing preparedness and mitigation efforts.

Call to Action: Don't wait for a hurricane to threaten your area before taking action. Start preparing now. Your safety and the safety of your family depend on it. Visit your local emergency management website for specific guidelines and resources relevant to your community. Remember, being prepared is the best defense against a hurricane.