Above-Normal Hurricane Season Forecast: 10 Storms Possible For US Coast

Michael

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Post on May 29, 2025

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Above-Normal Hurricane Season Forecast: 10 Storms Possible for US Coast

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is shaping up to be a busy one, with forecasters predicting an above-normal number of storms threatening the US coastline. Experts are urging residents along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts to prepare now, as the season officially runs from June 1st to November 30th. This year's prediction signals a heightened risk and underscores the importance of hurricane preparedness.

Increased Storm Activity Predicted

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) recently released its forecast, predicting 10 to 16 named storms this season. Of these, 5 to 9 are expected to become hurricanes, with 1 to 4 potentially reaching major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher). This forecast surpasses the long-term average of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. The increased activity is attributed to several factors, including warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic and favorable atmospheric conditions.

Why the Increased Risk?

Several contributing factors are behind this above-normal prediction:

• Warmer Ocean Temperatures: Higher-than-average sea surface temperatures provide the fuel for hurricane development and intensification. The warmer the water, the more energy available for storms.
• El Niño's Influence (or Lack Thereof): While El Niño conditions can sometimes suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic, current predictions suggest a weaker El Niño influence than initially anticipated, allowing for more favorable conditions for storm formation.
• Atmospheric Conditions: The atmospheric conditions over the Atlantic are expected to be conducive to hurricane development, with less wind shear to disrupt storm formation and strengthening.

Preparing for Hurricane Season: Essential Steps

With an above-normal hurricane season predicted, preparation is paramount. Here are some crucial steps to take:

• Develop a Hurricane Plan: Create a detailed family emergency plan, including evacuation routes, communication strategies, and designated meeting points.
• Build an Emergency Kit: Stock up on essential supplies like water, non-perishable food, medications, flashlights, batteries, and a first-aid kit. Don't forget pet supplies if you have furry friends!
• Protect Your Property: Trim trees and shrubs around your home, reinforce windows and doors, and consider purchasing flood insurance.
• Stay Informed: Monitor weather forecasts regularly through reputable sources like the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and your local news. Sign up for weather alerts on your phone.
• Know Your Evacuation Zone: Understand your evacuation zone and have a plan in place for a quick and safe evacuation if necessary.

Resources for Hurricane Preparedness:

• National Hurricane Center (NHC): - The official source for hurricane information and forecasts.
• Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): - Provides resources and guidance on disaster preparedness and recovery.
• Your Local Emergency Management Agency: Check your local government website for specific hurricane preparedness information and resources for your area.

Don't wait until a storm is imminent to prepare. Taking proactive steps now can significantly reduce your risk and help ensure your safety and security during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. Remember, being prepared is the best defense against the potential devastation of a hurricane. Stay safe and stay informed!