Above-Normal Hurricane Season Forecast For The US: What You Need To Know

Michael

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Post on May 28, 2025

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Above-Normal Hurricane Season Forecast for the US: What You Need to Know

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has issued a concerning forecast: an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is expected for 2024. This means a higher likelihood of powerful storms impacting the United States, necessitating proactive preparation and heightened awareness. Are you ready? This article breaks down what you need to know to protect yourself and your family.

Why an Above-Normal Hurricane Season?

Several factors contribute to the NOAA's prediction of an above-average hurricane season. These include:

• Warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures: The Atlantic Ocean is currently experiencing warmer-than-usual surface temperatures, providing the fuel needed for hurricane development and intensification. This warmer water acts as a catalyst, allowing storms to gain strength more rapidly.
• Suppressed wind shear: Wind shear, which is a change in wind speed or direction with altitude, can disrupt hurricane formation and development. A prediction of weaker-than-normal wind shear means fewer impediments to storm growth.
• Neutral to slightly below-average El Niño conditions: While El Niño can sometimes suppress hurricane activity, current predictions suggest a relatively weak influence this season, leaving the path open for more storm formation.

What Does "Above-Normal" Mean?

The NOAA predicts 12-17 named storms, 5-9 hurricanes, and 1-4 major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher). This is higher than the average season which typically sees 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. While these are just predictions, it emphasizes the increased risk and the importance of preparation.

Preparing for Hurricane Season: Key Steps

Don't wait until a hurricane watch or warning is issued. Now is the time to take action. Here's a checklist:

• Develop a Hurricane Plan: This should include evacuation routes, communication strategies with family and friends, and a designated meeting place. Consider the needs of elderly family members or individuals with disabilities.
• Build an Emergency Kit: Your kit should include essential supplies like water (one gallon per person per day for at least three days), non-perishable food, a first-aid kit, medications, flashlights, batteries, and a battery-powered radio.
• Protect Your Property: Trim trees and shrubs around your home to minimize wind damage. Consider reinforcing your windows and doors. Protect valuable documents and important papers.
• Understand Hurricane Terminology: Familiarize yourself with hurricane terminology like tropical depression, tropical storm, hurricane, hurricane watch, and hurricane warning. Knowing the difference is crucial for responding effectively.
• Stay Informed: Monitor weather forecasts regularly from reputable sources like the NOAA and the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Sign up for weather alerts on your mobile device.

Resources for Further Information:

• National Hurricane Center (NHC): – The official source for hurricane information.
• Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA): – Offers resources and guidance on disaster preparedness.

Conclusion:

An above-normal hurricane season is a serious concern requiring proactive measures. By understanding the risks and taking the necessary steps to prepare, you can significantly reduce the potential impact on yourself and your community. Don't delay – start preparing today. Your safety depends on it.