Above-Normal Hurricane Season Forecast For The US: What To Expect

Michael

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Post on May 28, 2025

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Above-Normal Hurricane Season Forecast for the US: What to Expect

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has issued a concerning forecast: an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is expected for 2024. This means residents along the US coastline need to prepare now for the increased likelihood of powerful storms and the potential for widespread devastation. Don't wait until the first hurricane watch is issued; proactive planning is crucial.

Why an Above-Normal Hurricane Season?

Several factors contribute to this prediction of a more active hurricane season than usual. NOAA cites a combination of climate patterns, including a predicted warmer-than-average sea surface temperature in the Atlantic, reduced wind shear (strong winds that can disrupt hurricane formation), and a neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecast. These conditions create a breeding ground for hurricane development and intensification. The warmer ocean waters fuel the storms, providing the energy they need to grow and become more powerful.

What Does "Above-Normal" Mean?

NOAA's forecast predicts 12-17 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 5-9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), with 1-4 potentially reaching major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher, with winds of 111 mph or higher). This is significantly above the long-term average of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. It's important to remember that even a single major hurricane can cause catastrophic damage.

Preparing for Hurricane Season: A Checklist

Don't get caught off guard. Now is the time to take action and prepare your family and property. Here's a crucial checklist:

• Develop a Hurricane Plan: This includes identifying evacuation routes, designating a meeting place, and establishing communication protocols with family and friends. Consider creating a detailed plan that includes essential supplies and instructions for securing your home. [Link to FEMA's Hurricane Preparedness Guide]

• Build an Emergency Kit: Gather a supply of non-perishable food, water (one gallon per person per day), batteries, a first-aid kit, medications, flashlights, and a battery-powered radio. Don't forget important documents like insurance policies and identification.

• Protect Your Property: Trim trees and shrubs around your home to reduce the risk of damage from falling branches. Consider reinforcing your windows and doors, and investing in storm shutters. If you live in a flood-prone area, elevate valuable possessions and consider flood insurance.

• Stay Informed: Monitor weather forecasts closely throughout the season. Sign up for emergency alerts from your local authorities and download a reliable weather app. Be aware of hurricane warnings, watches, and advisories.

Beyond the Forecast: Understanding the Risks

While NOAA provides valuable predictions, it's crucial to understand that these are forecasts, not guarantees. Even a season predicted to be "below-normal" can still produce devastating storms. Therefore, preparedness is essential regardless of the official forecast. The potential for significant damage from high winds, storm surge, and flooding underscores the importance of being ready.

Taking Action Today:

Don't underestimate the potential impact of this above-normal hurricane season. Start your hurricane preparedness efforts today. The time to act is now. Your safety and the safety of your loved ones depend on it. Share this information with your friends and family to help spread awareness and encourage preparation. Learn more about hurricane safety and preparedness by visiting the [link to NOAA's hurricane website].