Smart MLB Prop Betting: Analyzing Paul Skenes, Aaron Judge, & Michael King

Michael

3 min read

Post on May 20, 2025

4.6

Share

Smart MLB Prop Betting: Analyzing Paul Skenes, Aaron Judge, & Michael King

Major League Baseball is in full swing, and for many fans, that means one thing: prop betting. This season offers some intriguing possibilities, and today we're diving deep into the stats and storylines surrounding three prominent players: rookie sensation Paul Skenes, slugging superstar Aaron Judge, and the resurgent reliever Michael King. Learn how to leverage your knowledge to make smart MLB prop bets.

Paul Skenes: The Rookie Phenom

Paul Skenes, the number one overall pick in the 2023 MLB Draft, has generated significant excitement. His electrifying pitching performance in the minors has translated to some impressive early major league appearances. However, rookie adjustments are common, and his prop bets reflect the inherent volatility of a young pitcher facing seasoned hitters.

• Strikeouts: Skenes' high-velocity fastball and devastating breaking ball are strikeout machines. Looking at his minor league numbers and early MLB performances, over/under strikeout props are a good starting point. Keep an eye on his opponent's batting lineup – a team with a lot of strikeouts could boost his over prop.
• Innings Pitched: Monitoring Skenes' innings pitched is crucial. Will the team manage his workload carefully, limiting his appearances to shorter outings? Or will they trust him for longer stints as he gains experience? This directly impacts his prop bets.
• Earned Run Average (ERA): Skenes' ERA is a dynamic statistic that fluctuates with each outing. While his raw talent is undeniable, tracking his ERA prop bets offers insights into his consistency and control on the mound. Check reputable sports news sites for daily updates on his pitching performances.

Aaron Judge: The Powerhouse

Aaron Judge is a household name, synonymous with power hitting. His prop bets often center around his hitting prowess.

• Home Runs: Judge's home run prop bets are always popular. While he's capable of hitting multiple home runs in a game, predicting this accurately is challenging. Consider the opposing pitcher's history against right-handed power hitters. A pitcher known for giving up home runs significantly impacts Judge's home run prop.
• Total Bases: This prop bet encompasses singles, doubles, triples, and home runs. It offers a more comprehensive view of Judge's offensive contribution compared to solely focusing on home runs.
• RBIs: While dependent on his teammates getting on base, Judge's RBI prop provides another avenue to capitalize on his hitting ability.

Michael King: The Reliever's Renaissance

Michael King's emergence as a reliable and high-impact reliever has made him an interesting prop bet option.

• Strikeouts: King's ability to generate strikeouts, even in short appearances, makes his strikeout prop an attractive wager. Consider his recent performances and the opposing team's batting order when evaluating the over/under.
• Saves: If King is in a save situation, his save prop bet becomes highly relevant. Monitor the game's trajectory to gauge the likelihood of a close game and a save opportunity.
• Innings Pitched: Similar to Skenes, King's innings pitched are important. Is he the team's closer, or might his appearances be more fleeting? This factor affects the viability of certain prop bets.

Smart Betting Strategies:

• Research is key: Don't just rely on gut feelings; analyze player stats, team matchups, and recent performances.
• Bankroll management: Set a budget and stick to it. Never chase losses.
• Shop around: Compare odds from different sportsbooks to maximize your potential returns.
• Stay informed: News and updates on player injuries or unexpected lineup changes can significantly influence prop bet outcomes. Check reputable sports news sources such as ESPN or MLB.com.

Disclaimer: Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly and within your means. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

By carefully analyzing player performance, team matchups, and leveraging reliable data, you can improve your chances of making smart MLB prop bets this season. Remember to always gamble responsibly.